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coop bank results
bartum
#1 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 9:47:07 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
anyone seen results? Post here a preview
cnn
#2 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 10:28:01 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,621
Half year EPS up to .67 shillings against .42 shillings last year.
Horton
#3 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 10:38:33 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
bartum wrote:
anyone seen results? Post here a preview

http://www.nse.co.ke/new...-op%20results%202010.pdf
omega
#4 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:09:55 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/9/2009
Posts: 85
cnn wrote:
Half year EPS up to .67 shillings against .42 shillings last year.



60% growth - very impressive.
qw25041985
#5 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:11:30 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Lets calculate TARGET price for Co-Op bank come full year :

As for CO-Op .I calculated it's target price this way ksh 15.95 (closin price) / [Ksh 0.67 (Earnings per share) x 2 ] = Implied Forward PE is Ksh 11.90

NB : target price = Current stock price *{current p/e /forward p/e}

Hence Target price at year end will be 15.95 (latest closing price) * 19 /11.90

This gives a target price of Ksh 27.00

Conclusion : Its very very cheap at todays price of Ksh 15.00 . If you were to invest today u'd close to double your money when they release their full year results.Co-Op bank is definately a buy.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
Horton
#6 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:15:22 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
qw25041985 wrote:
Lets calculate TARGET price for Co-Op bank come full year :

As for CO-Op .I calculated it's target price this way ksh 15.95 (closin price) / [Ksh 0.67 (Earnings per share) x 2 ] = Implied Forward PE is Ksh 11.90

NB : target price = Current stock price *{current p/e /forward p/e}

Hence Target price at year end will be 15.95 (latest closing price) * 19 /11.90

This gives a target price of Ksh 27.00

Conclusion : Its very very cheap at todays price of Ksh 15.00 . If you were to invest today u'd close to double your money when they release their full year results.Co-Op bank is definately a buy.



lol read about "pump and dump" somewhere Shame on you Liar
PKoli
#7 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:18:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
qw25041985 wrote:
Lets calculate TARGET price for Co-Op bank come full year :

As for CO-Op .I calculated it's target price this way ksh 15.95 (closin price) / [Ksh 0.67 (Earnings per share) x 2 ] = Implied Forward PE is Ksh 11.90

NB : target price = Current stock price *{current p/e /forward p/e}

Hence Target price at year end will be 15.95 (latest closing price) * 19 /11.90

This gives a target price of Ksh 27.00

Conclusion : Its very very cheap at todays price of Ksh 15.00 . If you were to invest today u'd close to double your money when they release their full year results.Co-Op bank is definately a buy.


I think you have missed a few steps.

Assuming half year results will be replicated at the end of the year, then we are talking of FY eps of 0.67*3=1.34. if the share will trade at a pe of 12, then its price should be 1.34*12=16.1

So at current price cop is reasonably priced.
whynow
#8 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:19:04 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/19/2010
Posts: 98
Location: Kenya
I would give it a price of 20-23 to maintain a pe of around 15 which is the sector average.
PKoli
#9 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:24:40 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
whynow wrote:
I would give it a price of 20-23 to maintain a pe of around 15 which is the sector average.



That is realistic, unless one is expecting stratospheric growth like Equity did during its listing days
qw25041985
#10 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:25:11 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
@horton. If u dnt understand just ask and u'll be shown.
If u hav ur own version prove it to us. ....
Otherwise .....itsnt maths genius i am doing . Lol.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
Horton
#11 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:27:18 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
qw25041985 wrote:
@horton. If u dnt understand just ask and u'll be shown.
If u hav ur own version prove it to us. ....
Otherwise .....itsnt maths genius i am doing . Lol.


are you talking about annualized earnings * PE multiple??!!

BTW 19 pe multiple is quite a high PE and doesnt really mean that the company is correctly valued!!! That implies a bias that the person valuing it has...
cnn
#12 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:32:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,621
If i had any interest in the share i would not pay a dime above 16 bob.
qw25041985
#13 Posted : Monday, August 16, 2010 11:33:16 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Wh.at a kind of a comment is that ? Lol . It has a high p/e because investors see growth in it. Thus the price has to catch up w/ the high p/e .
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
qw25041985
#14 Posted : Monday, February 28, 2011 6:52:11 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
qw25041985 wrote:
Lets calculate TARGET price for Co-Op bank come full year :

As for CO-Op .I calculated it's target price this way ksh 15.95 (closin price) / [Ksh 0.67 (Earnings per share) x 2 ] = Implied Forward PE is Ksh 11.90

NB : target price = Current stock price *{current p/e /forward p/e}

Hence Target price at year end will be 15.95 (latest closing price) * 19 /11.90

This gives a target price of Ksh 27.00

Conclusion : Its very very cheap at todays price of Ksh 15.00 . If you were to invest today u'd close to double your money when they release their full year results.Co-Op bank is definately a buy.


WOW ! WOW! WOW! WOW! ...All the doubting thomases i hope you can see what you missed...If you lisened and bought when it was stagnating at 10.00 you shld be smilling now.As the stock has realised its calculated projected target. OR atleast its almost there.LOL !
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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