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Realities of Forex Investment
qw25041985
#661 Posted : Wednesday, January 26, 2011 8:11:30 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Yesterday gbp pairs fell like rocks coz of he negative gdp that was reported for u.k @ -0.5 actually.

have a look at the image below . it shows an ascending wedge on the e/u . I believe eur/usd will be topping anytime soon..

http://www.actionforex.c...rs/cmsfx/2011012461.gif

the fall that i had called for on aud/usd just isnt comming.the pair is sweetly consolidating in a very well defined bear flag ( look at ur 4 hr chart) and after the break-out it will prove that aud/usd has topped and will bring 0.93 level in focus after the break-out.i still maintain my short/bearish position on the pair.

We all know Friday is the big day for us fx trader as huge numbers will be coming from the u.s

@ 22:15 local (Today) USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision .

On friday is the big one

1. USD Gross Domestic Product (Annualized) (4Q A)

2. USD Gross Domestic Product Price Index (4Q A)

make sure u arent trading then coz u can get wippd of coz of the high volatility !
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
hisah
#662 Posted : Wednesday, January 26, 2011 5:25:12 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Short order @1.3760 for EUR/USD, SL - 1.3820, TP - 1.3630. I hope the FOMC meeting announcement today helps the EUR/USD to spike up to that level. The hourly support trend line has been broken setting a short opportunity.
The Dow having touch 12000 and so overbought on the weekly and daily time frames is inviting bears.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
qw25041985
#663 Posted : Wednesday, January 26, 2011 7:04:05 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
i have been callin eu short from i dnt know when.....that ascending wedge lookd very nice and since it has broken it shld be touching 1.29 level in the coming weeks.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
fxtech
#664 Posted : Thursday, January 27, 2011 6:17:43 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
I hv n long EURUSD the whole week, I am waiting too see how it reacts to 1.37's esp 1.3740 a major resistance

AUDUSD Im waching for a bear signal to set-up

AUDCAD, SHORT @0.9903 TP 0.9820 SL 0.9960
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
hisah
#665 Posted : Thursday, January 27, 2011 12:17:05 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I'm watching the narrowing USDCHF bollinger bands. A breakout is in the offing. RSI has been slowly creeping up... If the breakout leads to a buy, EURUSD will be a sell.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
qw25041985
#666 Posted : Thursday, January 27, 2011 12:25:29 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
funny enough usd/cad and usd/chf are both forming a descending wedges !!!! it a very bullish pattern ........it all depends w/ the us gdp number on friday....

@ fxtech . lookin at your 4hr chart . aud/usd is in a bear flag.it very clear have a look...u have to love the way it nicely collerated to the euro. wait for a breakout or u'll be whipped sawd.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
fxtech
#667 Posted : Thursday, January 27, 2011 6:42:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
@qw I have bn analying the AUDUSD, where do u thnk we headed esp after the flag u just highlighted

@Hisah, I like ur analysis,looks like USDCHF will be heading north lets see how the next 2 candles play out on H4, I will keep u posted
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
hisah
#668 Posted : Friday, January 28, 2011 6:52:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
US GDP risk event is now out of the way. Still holding the 2 EUR/USD positions activated yesterday @1.3760 (previous short order). TP still remains 1.3630 for position one. TP2 for position 2 will be determined next week.

The NASDAQ short is working out slowly. Added Dow short at 11970; with the 12000 target achieved and exceeded with overbought weekly and daily RSI, this one has some room to correct. Currently the targets are open for the two US market shorts, but will review next week. This also means bad news for aussie and euro bulls with the current stocks correction.

I'm waiting for USD/CHF to break above 0.9470, then I can go long. USD/JPY is a bit messy. I'll avoid it for the time being. Next week I'll be looking at aussie pairs for trade ideas apart from AUD/NZD.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
qw25041985
#669 Posted : Friday, January 28, 2011 7:18:17 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
i am also looking to short aussie but they just dnt want to fall out of the bear flag. i need a clear signal.i lok to be long on usd/jpy coz of the bull flad on 4 hour chart...31.8 fib level of last upswing has held well even through the u.s gdp which was very uneventful .
61.8 fib level is still to be watched as what is goin on now is just an overdue correction on eur/usd ( eu)
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
qw25041985
#670 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 4:08:07 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
u still have a chance to get in on this trade !!!!!! eur/chf lookin nice for a nice down move....i entered late but i am in money....Look at the chart for friday's close.and remember to look for a good entry place on lower time frames.

http://www.actionforex.c...forexcom/2011012881.gif



if that eur/chf set-up isnt enough . how about the impending breakout of aud/usd on the four hr chart. u know hw triangle set-ups are volatile.Look at the chart . it's just a matter of time before we brakout.Maybe after non-farm payrol on tuseday .
Here's the chart ( fridays close)

http://www.actionforex.c.../forexcom/2011012871.gif
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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