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The Bull has Arrived
Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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This guy definitely isn't feeling the spirit of the 'bull' www.mystocks.co.ke/f-1/904GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Diamond Trust Bank. This is round about the time, results for Fy 2010, should be factored in, going by histroy(of Q2, Q3 2010). Ie, ~6 wks, before announcement. A bull run has occurred, before this, changing the dynamics in a way. P/e calculations done by several members here have shown a fair value of 190 due to doubling of eps(14) expeceted in fy 2010 results. even with a modest trailing P/e of 13 and eps of 14 (estimate). that would be a share price of 182. After the factoring in of fy 2010 results i expect it to reach 165, and platuea again 160-155, before the next rise. This is not a buy recommendation, but a biased opinion by a shareholder. regards, Aguy. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Seems someone boarded the bus at the last terminus.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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hisah wrote:Seems someone boarded the bus at the last terminus. a whole doctor
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Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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bartum wrote:hisah wrote:Seems someone boarded the bus at the last terminus. a whole doctor Hiyo ni 'madoido' GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: User Joined: 5/9/2010 Posts: 1,418 Location: Nai
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lol lol lol lol lol lol ...somebody direrct him to wazua please where people are on high drugs dreamin of k.c.b reaching 100 before we can say Simba ! Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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ProverB wrote:Aguytrying wrote:DTK train keeps marching on! @proverb. Now i've gotten you. I entered i while back 130 range and still holding, see how its fares by march. poa. i'd rather err on the side of caution than ride on greed/hope concerning stocks. @proverB you are aware the likelihood of corporate action in terms of a bonus issue from DTK is very high... This coupled with an expected 15% growth in Q1 the price should rally over 200 Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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@guru i think @proverB is not aware of that,
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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bartum wrote:@guru i think @proverB is not aware of that, let him sell! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: User Joined: 5/9/2010 Posts: 1,418 Location: Nai
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please sell to me !!!!! it seems @ proverb doesnt understand market dynamics !!! Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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qw25041985 wrote:please sell to me !!!!! it seems @ proverb doesnt understand market dynamics !!! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/12/2010 Posts: 1,199 Location: Eastlander
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guru267 wrote:@proverB you are aware the likelihood of corporate action in terms of a bonus issue from DTK is very high... This coupled with an expected 15% growth in Q1 the price should rally over 200 @Guru..i am aware. at the end of the day..it's not our "collective money" am investing..but my own..so opinions stated earlier are mine n mine own.. I have not advised anyone to sell..nor buy..just expressed what i'd do.. reread my post..i'm yet to sell.. @aguytrying...you are better off ignoring epithets of QW on any matter..refer to his opinions on Mumias, Unga,Access,neveready, KPLC rights.. what he's doing on this thread is mud slinging.. You invest your money..calling for prudence and caution should not just be dismissed as "ignorance".. Anyway.. Happy investing. ..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16 - 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/27/2010 Posts: 324 Location: nrb
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ProverB wrote:guru267 wrote:@proverB you are aware the likelihood of corporate action in terms of a bonus issue from DTK is very high... This coupled with an expected 15% growth in Q1 the price should rally over 200 @Guru..i am aware. at the end of the day..it's not our "collective money" am investing..but my own..so opinions stated earlier are mine n mine own.. I have not advised anyone to sell..nor buy..just expressed what i'd do.. reread my post..i'm yet to sell.. @aguytrying...you are better off ignoring epithets of QW on any matter..refer to his opinions on Mumias, Unga,Access,neveready, KPLC rights.. what he's doing on this thread is mud slinging.. You invest your money..calling for prudence and caution should not just be dismissed as "ignorance".. Anyway.. Happy investing. Well, fair stock valuation comes from a good balance of optimists and pessimists. @proverb certainly has some point in his cautiousness. Just wondering - for the optimist side, isnt the market already aware of all those great prospects of dtb, except perhaps a possible bonus?. my small concern is why its not being factored immediately like in equity's case?. that might mean that if dtb is to rise to where the optimists think it should be, then this will probably be in the general scheme of bullishness across the abroad. otherwise what kind of new surprises are we expecting? or will confirmation of the good prospects be good enough surprise?
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 12/23/2010 Posts: 1,229
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qw25041985 wrote:Things are very simple here. but lik all kenyans we love to complicate them...If you think you won the bet fair and square go ahead and go by yourself those drinks....but calling other people names isnt the way to go.....We shld all agree that nobody won this bet fair and square so please cut me that crap and lets move on w/ life.... as for proverbs's case i still think its a baby shittin allover the forum....Proverb ??? MATURE UP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Oh the joys of anonymity. Heshima kidogo tu.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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@proverb hakuna beef.. I respect your opinions. But DTB has a forward P/E of 8 and plans to double branch next work by 2014... Plus it will probably announce a profit growth in 2011 on top of last years stellar performance though this will be marginal. This might be compounded by a bonus issue Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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guru, can we call it the Equity Effect? GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: User Joined: 5/9/2010 Posts: 1,418 Location: Nai
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you are all forgeting that @guru267 owns dtbk ....tooooooooooooo much bias here !!!! Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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@proverb. Thanks for the caution. I however got into this share, without recomm from anyone. Did my own research. And i have my own targets. Happy investing. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/21/2010 Posts: 514 Location: Nairobi
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DTB doubling their eps to around 14 is no secret to the invesment community & the probability of a bonus issue to finance expansion, with this the price should be at around 190 by April though investors should be extremely cautious coz: 1. 85% of its growth is attributable to bond trading & on its core business (interest income) 15%. WIill they be able to sustain this growth? 2. The fastest growing revenue streams for banks is on mortgage financing but i've not seen DTB's blueprint on this. 'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
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Rank: User Joined: 5/9/2010 Posts: 1,418 Location: Nai
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so @proverb its u verses all the investment analysts recommending dtbk through the countless number of reports , backed by some healthy research . and you think you'll win....get real..Go walk to the moon it might be easier !!!!!!!!!! Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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