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Kenya Airways: Stock to watch...
Rank: Member Joined: 9/11/2007 Posts: 54 Location: Bermuda
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The global airline industry has rebounded very strongly this year. Most airlines particulary in Asia are reporting triple digit profit growth this year. On account of this KQ should be watched closely. Check out. www.afrikainvestor.blogspot.com for a more detailed analysis When you see clouds gathering, prepare to catch rainwater. - African proverb
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,259 Location: Nairobi
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I like KQ but it is no Emirates! [I did enjoy reading the analysis] Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/11/2007 Posts: 54 Location: Bermuda
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Vitu, I agree with you. KQ is no Emirates. But this is not just about Emirates, virtually the whole industry has bounced back this year. Over the last 10 years (according to IATA figures), the global airline industry has been loss making. KQ on the other hand has been profitable for most of the last 10 years. Surely KQ should benefit from a general industry surge. Even the US industry which is very mature has done supremely well in the first 9 months of 2010. Iko kitu. When you see clouds gathering, prepare to catch rainwater. - African proverb
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,259 Location: Nairobi
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msafiri wrote:Vitu, I agree with you. KQ is no Emirates. But this is not just about Emirates, virtually the whole industry has bounced back this year. Over the last 10 years (according to IATA figures), the global airline industry has been loss making. KQ on the other hand has been profitable for most of the last 10 years. Surely KQ should benefit from a general industry surge. Even the US industry which is very mature has done supremely well in the first 9 months of 2010. Iko kitu. I hope so!!! Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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I like the pessimism on KQ that way even if 5 Nov backfires we wont get roasted...some media carried reports that KQ made losses in the 1Q so anything is possible here...just praaaay...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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the deal wrote:I like the pessimism on KQ that way even if 5 Nov backfires we wont get roasted...some media carried reports that KQ made losses in the 1Q so anything is possible here...just praaaay... @the deal you seem to be in big in KQ... I'll be really praying for you Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/12/2010 Posts: 1,199 Location: Eastlander
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..serious times these are.. when sound investment analysis by likes of vvs and deal are interspersed with terms such as "pray"... "hope"  .... naikuni's adamant political connections n patronage that seems to be working overtime to ensure his "lifetime-seat-holder" at the helm of KQ will mess up everyone in the long run.  can't he learn from MJ?? NKTmost!  amp; ..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16 - 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/26/2010 Posts: 124
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We better be headin for good times in kq Nov 5th it is,til then,lets enjoy our dividends.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,192 Location: nairobi
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Caution!!dont expect more than the company can chew...it can be disastrous to the share...is tomorow the defining moment? "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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mlennyma wrote:Caution!!dont expect more than the company can chew...it can be disastrous to the share...is tomorow the defining moment? Yes tomorrow is the defining moment there are lot of disgruntled KQ shareholders out there who have stayed put for a better tomorrow
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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On KQ i will be looking at 2 things tomorrow.
1. Operating profit 2. Overheads
If any of those blow in our face i will sale without a blink cause it will show that management is struggling to drive the plane.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,192 Location: nairobi
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Unajua ngamia?..mimi nimeweka shingo hapa na ninalia nundu changu!!nundu changu!!..should i get in today? advise "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/12/2010 Posts: 1,199 Location: Eastlander
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the deal wrote:On KQ i will be looking at 2 things tomorrow.
1. Operating profit 2. Overheads
If any of those blow in our face i will sale without a blink cause it will show that management is struggling to drive the plane. everytime i've alluded that focus be on operating profits..dismissal has been abrupt and fast..preference given to revenue growth..(passenger numbers, route expansions blah blah blah).. wacha tuone. ..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16 - 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,259 Location: Nairobi
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ProverB wrote:..serious times these are.. when sound investment analysis by likes of vvs and deal are interspersed with terms such as "pray"... "hope"  .... naikuni's adamant political connections n patronage that seems to be working overtime to ensure his "lifetime-seat-holder" at the helm of KQ will mess up everyone in the long run.  can't he learn from MJ?? NKTmost!  amp; LOL... True... Whereas, I believe KQ will have a great 2H, I need cash for KPLC Rights too! Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/12/2010 Posts: 1,199 Location: Eastlander
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msafiri wrote:Kenya Airways: Stock to watch... Hope you are watching. ..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16 - 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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ProverB wrote:msafiri wrote:Kenya Airways: Stock to watch... Hope you are watching. I am watching and while I like the fact that I will be able to get some more today at 43 or below. All the same, I am wondering... Over 1/2 a million shares being offered at Kshs 44. What do these guys know that I do not? Anyhow, in for a penny, in for a pound. Today, I will purchase the last lot that I need to get to my target. This will bring my stake in KQ to roughly 15% of my portfolio. Let's see whether I will be crying tomorrow!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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@ProverB, I think you and I have been together on our emphasis on operating profits. I have even gone ahead to give my projection on what I think the figure will be for H1. As for the overheads that is anyone's guess. We will now know tomorrow.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/12/2010 Posts: 1,199 Location: Eastlander
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mwanahisa wrote: @ProverB, I think you and I have been together on our emphasis on operating profits. I have even gone ahead to give my projection on what I think the figure will be for H1. As for the overheads that is anyone's guess.
We will now know tomorrow.
well, i have heard it being said..that fortune will always favor the bold.  All the best. 15% dedicated to KQ? wow. i will stay on financials..for KQ..i'm not convinced. may be speculative purposes once news is out..i'd rather miss out. ..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16 - 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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ProverB wrote:mwanahisa wrote: @ProverB, I think you and I have been together on our emphasis on operating profits. I have even gone ahead to give my projection on what I think the figure will be for H1. As for the overheads that is anyone's guess.
We will now know tomorrow.
well, i have heard it being said..that fortune will always favor the bold.  All the best. 15% dedicated to KQ? wow. i will stay on financials..for KQ..i'm not convinced. may be speculative purposes once news is out..i'd rather miss out. ProverB, Over 50% of my portfolio is in Financials, so I needed some other avenue to balance my portfolio. Most of my KQs are recent buys. I also hold KK and KPLC as my core Industrial Holdings. I hold a few other stocks, which some may consider outlandish such as Agriculturals. At the moment, I feel I am a little over diversified. I am therefore looking to trim the portfolio a bit.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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50% of my portifolio is in KQ...people are just panicking...i believe tomorrows results will be better than last year...due the world cup effect...
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