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Kplc restructure plan out
Sober
#1 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 2:28:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
Seen briefly on 1pm news. Plan to raise 7-10 bn.
transaction advisor D&B,legal advisor the normal company sec for KPLC.
Sober attached the following image(s):
KPLCrv.jpg (32kb) downloaded 1 time(s).
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
mwanahisa
#2 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 2:33:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Apparently the rights issue will run from 25th November to 15th December. Additional details anyone?
mwanahisa
#3 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 2:44:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Time to start preparing funds to take up our rights and more! It will be interesting to see how the share price will respond to these news. Will probably remain depressed, but I am certain that price will rise once the rights issue closes.
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 2:45:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,215
Location: Nairobi
7-10bn... More details after the AGM [though I suspect there will be additional details during the AGM too]
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#5 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:12:21 PM
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Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Sober wrote:
Seen briefly on 1pm news. Plan to raise 7-10 bn


a 7-10 billion rights issue basically means a 10billion rights issue...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#6 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:17:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,215
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
Sober wrote:
Seen briefly on 1pm news. Plan to raise 7-10 bn


a 7-10 billion rights issue basically means a 10billion rights issue...

Depends... Say the market is not enthusiastic then they go for the lower number BUT I think you are right i.e. it will be higher than lower
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
BGL
#7 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:48:26 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
VituVingiSana wrote:
guru267 wrote:
Sober wrote:
Seen briefly on 1pm news. Plan to raise 7-10 bn


a 7-10 billion rights issue basically means a 10billion rights issue...

Depends... Say the market is not enthusiastic then they go for the lower number BUT I think you are right i.e. it will be higher than lower


here is the circular http://www.2shared.com/d...areholder_circular.html

History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
Maumau
#8 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:53:55 PM
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Joined: 3/11/2009
Posts: 22
@BGL, thanks.
Sober
#9 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:02:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
share split ration 8:1 to a par value of 2.50
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
stocksmaster
#10 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:08:48 PM
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Joined: 9/26/2006
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Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
If the issue aims to raise Ksh 7-10B, then the issue price will range from Ksh 15 - 21! (Ksh 120 - 170 at current prices). This assumes the quantity of newly issued shares are all offered in the rights.

The higher figure of Ksh 21 makes more sense and hence i anticipate a Ksh 10B offer.

Happy hunting
BGL
#11 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:11:25 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
The PRICE for CONVERSION is Ksh. 207.50
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
Sober
#12 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:13:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
stocksmaster wrote:
If the issue aims to raise Ksh 7-10B, then the issue price will range from Ksh 15 - 21! (Ksh 120 - 170 at current prices). This assumes the quantity of newly issued shares are all offered in the rights.

The higher figure of Ksh 21 makes more sense and hence i anticipate a Ksh 10B offer.

Happy hunting



the price is 207.50 an average of the last 120 days. this counter will be tradinng at a region of 30.00 after the split.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
BGL
#13 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:48:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
Sober wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
If the issue aims to raise Ksh 7-10B, then the issue price will range from Ksh 15 - 21! (Ksh 120 - 170 at current prices). This assumes the quantity of newly issued shares are all offered in the rights.

The higher figure of Ksh 21 makes more sense and hence i anticipate a Ksh 10B offer.

Happy hunting



the price is 207.50 an average of the last 120 days. this counter will be tradinng at a region of 30.00 after the split.


According to the circular i posted they are seeking to raise Ksh.8,795,344,000 by issuing 488,630,245 rights. A simple calculation yield Ksh18.00 per share and 1 bob for transactional costs. I expect the rights to be priced at Ksh 20.00 or 19.00
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
VituVingiSana
#14 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 5:00:06 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,215
Location: Nairobi
@stocksmaster is referring to the Rights Price not Conversion Price...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mwanahisa
#15 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 5:07:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438


I have had a brief review of the shareholders circular whose link was kindly provided by BGL.

If it is the real deal, then the approximate rights price is actually proposed to be set at Kshs 18 (post split) or Kshs 144 (pre-split).
I would expect the price to be somewhat higher to offset the costs of the right issue.

I have arrived at this figure given that the Proforma Balance Sheet envisages Capital and Share Premium increasing by a figure of Kshs 8.795,344,000 (or more precisely 8,795,344,410).
On the other hand, the new number of ordinary shares is given as 488,630,135.

I am presuming that the circular that I have referred to above is a work in progress. Otherwise, there would be no reason for the MD to give a generalised figure of wanting to raise between 7 to 10 billion. We should therefore wait to see the final version of the shareholders circular or even better the Information Memorandum for the rights issue.

However, for purposes of discussion, if the rights issue price were to be set at Kshs 18 pre-split, I think price on the market will fall at first. However, savvy shareholders will buy up the shares to lock in the very cheap rights issue shares. This will then cause the price to rise again as we approach closure of the register for the rights.

What do the rest of you think?
the deal
#16 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 5:32:42 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
As a savvy retail investor i will buy the rights off the market if theyre priced below Ksh 200(Ksh 20 post split)and ignore the dilution...the dilution thing is for institutions...a 20% gain diluted or undiluted shares is 20%
mwanahisa
#17 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 5:51:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
the deal wrote:
As a savvy retail investor i will buy the rights off the market if theyre priced below Ksh 200(Ksh 20 post split)and ignore the dilution...the dilution thing is for institutions...a 20% gain diluted or undiluted shares is 20%


@the deal, The equivalent pre-split price is actually 160 (i.e. 20*8).

Your strategy assumes that the rights issue is not seriously oversubscribed. However, if the rights are priced at between 18-20, I would expect it to be HEAVILY oversubcribed, notwithstanding the fact that GOVt will not take up its rights. Remember the last NIC Bank rights issue?

I prefer Stockmaster's strategy of buying the (Govt) rights on the market. In addition, I WILL also apply for additional rights and I will even take a bank loan to ensure that I get the maximum possible. If others are like minded, oversubscription will be a foregone conclusion.
guru267
#18 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 5:57:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mwanahisa wrote:


However, for purposes of discussion, if the rights issue price were to be set at Kshs 18 pre-split, I think price on the market will fall at first. However, savvy shareholders will buy up the shares to lock in the very cheap rights issue shares. This will then cause the price to rise again as we approach closure of the register for the rights.

What do the rest of you think?


If G.O.K plans to raise 8.795 billion from the NSE then that will be great for the share and I will up my stake....

This is better than was expected meaning i will use less money to take up rights....

with 1.734 billion shares the stock will be worth 34 bob after restructuring and the rights will only be at 18.5 which is like a 40% discount
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
2012
#19 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 6:23:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
mwanahisa wrote:
I prefer Stockmaster's strategy of buying the (Govt) rights on the market.



Question is how many will you get with institutional investors, investment groups and individual investors etc scrambling for them? I find it wise to buy now at the current price of 28.5/- (after split), working with rights offer of 20/- it's still a bargain.

BBI will solve it
:)
mwanahisa
#20 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 6:36:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@2012. I am sure the govt rights will be available on the market. They are more than enough. The question will of course be at what price? I would expect the aggregrate of the rights price plus the rights premium to be lower than the prevailing share price.

Having said that, I would NOT sell the shares that I have. Instead, I will aim to maximize the number of new shares that I can buy at a discount. This strategy stood me in good stead in the KCB rights issue. I intend to do it on a much grander scale in case of KPLC.
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