I have had a brief review of the shareholders circular whose link was kindly provided by BGL.
If it is the real deal, then the
approximate rights price is actually proposed to be set at Kshs
18 (
post split) or Kshs
144 (
pre-split).
I would expect the price to be somewhat
higher to
offset the costs of the right issue.
I have arrived at this figure given that the Proforma Balance Sheet envisages Capital and Share Premium increasing by a figure of Kshs 8.795,344,000 (or more precisely 8,795,344,410).
On the other hand, the new number of ordinary shares is given as 488,630,135.
I am
presuming that the circular that I have referred to above is a
work in progress. Otherwise, there would be
no reason for the MD to give a generalised figure of wanting to raise between 7 to 10 billion. We should therefore
wait to see the
final version of the shareholders circular or even better the
Information Memorandum for the rights issue.
However, for purposes of discussion, if the rights issue price were to be set at Kshs 18 pre-split, I think price on the market will fall at first. However,
savvy shareholders will
buy up the shares to
lock in the
very cheap rights issue shares. This will then cause the price to rise again as we approach closure of the register for the rights.
What do the rest of you think?