@guru - The question is one of 'cost of holding stocks'
- I like KK's management. Why do I defend them? Coz they are smart!
- I am sure KK knew the crap with KPRL was coming so they made nice with KPA & KPC [storage + imports]. Then they must have filled up all they could. Nevertheless, within 2 months they must have depleted their stocks.
- OTS has reduced the 'speculation' that OMCs can engage. Not 100% but significantly.
- The cost of storage in Kenya is significant. KK does not have a huge tank network. A pity. I have engaged KK in this matter. I wish KK would have bought the 'unfinished' Triton tanks.
- Financing costs on $100 oil > $50 oil
BTW, I think KK will have a great 2H coz they were able to jack prices to 99/- (selling 'old' stocks) while standing aside while MoE, KPRL & other OMCs could not match KK's heft at importation or distribution.
Also the financing costs will be lower as Kenya's interest rates have dropped vs 2009...
What I am saying is that LOW oil prices are better for KK coz 'overall' they can sell more at better margins.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett