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Sterling Investment Research deemed bankrupt
Surealligator
#1 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:06:46 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
Can you believe this report came from Sterling. The name sterling stands for ~ excellent, first-rate, exceptional, matchless, incomparable, worthy, genuine. True to their word, even bloomberg took their sterling research.

Mumias Sugar Co., Kenya’s largest producer of the sweetener, was rated “buy” in new coverage at Sterling Investment Bank, which cited plans by the company to diversify its revenue base.

Mumias’s share-price estimate was set at 18.6 shillings ($0.23) per share, Nairobi-based analysts Onesmus Nzioka and Mourine Katila said in a note to clients dated today. The stock was trading at 15 shillings at 1:35 p.m. today (Aug 3, 2010) in the Kenyan capital.

“The case for investing in Mumias is largely backed by revenue diversification from a sole product-sugar, into co- generation of electricity and ethanol,” the note said. In addition to providing a new revenue stream, power production will also lower output costs, it said.

Mumias currently supplies 26 megawatts of electricity to Kenya Power and Lighting Co., the state-owned monopoly power distributor, at 4.68 shillings per kilowatt hour, the analysts said. The company earns about 1.1 billion shillings annually from electricity sales, or 7.5 percent of total revenue, they said.

Mumias also has the capacity to convert its molasses, a by- product of sugar production, into 65,000 liters (17,171 gallons) per day of ethanol.

“This could go a long way in countering the ever-rising petroleum prices,” Sterling said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Eric Ombok in Nairobi at eombok@bloomberg.net.

By Eric Ombok - Aug 3, 2010 3:04 PM GMT+0300

http://www.bloomberg.com...ew-revenue-streams.html

Surely, when will Kenya have serious reporters. When will CMA declare Sterling Disinvestment Bank bankrupt of research resources and true researchers. Woe onto those who follow their advice.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
young
#2 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 3:31:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,048
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
No cause for alarm, analyst, and research groups do make mistake in their estimates.

Very often stocks perform below or above analyst expectations.

The issue is investors and analyst themselves should give a one year target price to be on the safe side.

What happens if by August 2011 Mumias in question surpasses 19 bob ??

Most people in this forum seem to be speculatively speculative with anticipted fast stock appreciation in view, quick bob, you know !

Analysr Eric should not be crucified.


Note:- I am neither an investor nor recommending Mumias to you.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Paul Kukubo
#3 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 4:47:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/19/2009
Posts: 3,142
Young, I thought you died. A peter young died recently and he appeared to have been you with all the wisdom and age. where did SIB get the 1.1 billion figure from. mumias only made abt 350m from selling power to kplc. such margins of error are not acceptable. neither do more than 50% targeted price difference with actual price ie, current 11 shillings versus 18 shillings projected for mumias.
PKoli
#4 Posted : Tuesday, October 19, 2010 5:07:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
Paul Kukubo wrote:
Young, I thought you died. A peter young died recently and he appeared to have been you with all the wisdom and age. where did SIB get the 1.1 billion figure from. mumias only made abt 350m from selling power to kplc. such margins of error are not acceptable. neither do more than 50% targeted price difference with actual price ie, current 11 shillings versus 18 shillings projected for mumias.


Gross revenue estimated by SIB is not far off, if one assumes a load factor of 80% and the cost per unit of 6US cents. The reason why MSC did not realize that value is because the MSC had some operational challenges during the comissioning of the co-gen plant. In a good year, they should realize the revenue.
guru267
#5 Posted : Wednesday, October 20, 2010 7:47:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Investment banks and brokers are CRAP!!!!

did any of you guys notice how the muumias buy recommendation in August conveniently came out as the price was rallying to 15bob....

They did the exact thing with Kenya re... Just before results the stock rallied to 14.5bob and immediately the investment banks said it was worth 21 bob... 7 months later we're at 11.7 bob

On the flip side they rated KCB as a sell citing that it would trade below the 20bob range for about two years after the rights issue... 3 months later we're at 22.75

My advice is NEVER to listen to your broker's advice....
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
tkzee
#6 Posted : Wednesday, October 20, 2010 3:19:20 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/13/2010
Posts: 160
Location: rift Valley-Naks
guru267 wrote:
Investment banks and brokers are CRAP!!!!

did any of you guys notice how the muumias buy recommendation in August conveniently came out as the price was rallying to 15bob....

They did the exact thing with Kenya re... Just before results the stock rallied to 14.5bob and immediately the investment banks said it was worth 21 bob... 7 months later we're at 11.7 bob

On the flip side they rated KCB as a sell citing that it would trade below the 20bob range for about two years after the rights issue... 3 months later we're at 22.75

My advice is NEVER to listen to your broker's advice....


There may be collusive behaviour amongst these firms so approach those buy/sell recommendations carefully
''i can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies,but not the madness of people''-Isaac Newton
Gordon Gekko
#7 Posted : Wednesday, October 20, 2010 3:45:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@Paul Kukubo, if you are who I think you are, welcome on board!!! Great to know that movers and shakers are in the game!!! Tandaaa!!!!
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