This week will be powder keg full. No trades until the FOMC risk event decision is announced. The rumour mills are placing the stimulus between $500B - $4Trillion on the US fed bank purchase purse.
Since global equities have already priced in this stimulus, if the announcement is disappointing, a large correction will ensue. This will see the $ bets swiftly unwind. If this scenario plays out, I'll be buying the $ esp against the euro and aussie and short S&P and Nasdaq. If the opposite happens and the fed announces a super-size stimulus the $ will get cooked and I'll just add to my gold & silver positions and avoid shorting the equities. May reasons for avoiding to sell the $ is due to the fact the $ selling is at extremes which has small room for solid gains. The same applies to buying the global equities at buying extremes.
So for now I'll wait until Nov 3rd. During the announcement I'll also keep an eye on CNBC's mad money show. Whatever they propose with solid support (bullish or bearish) will mean I'm on the opposite side of their trade idea ;-)
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!