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TPS Serena is taking off
Surealligator
#1 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 11:15:32 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
Masai Mara lodges are fully booked, coast hotels are doing 90% bed bookings for those doing badly, East African tour circuit has the most expensive hotels in the region.

Kenya is now considered to be a stable nation politically.

Ocampa is closing in on the wolves, his people have to be accommodated in 5 star hotels

Infrastructure is finally taking shape and EA region is now becoming one.

Serena issued a successful rights and thus set to be a head of the tourist circuit senior destinations with renovations, management etc.

All Aga Khan controlled companies have a consistent dividend payout policy and thus are bluechip.

If you don't get into this bus now, I will curse you unless it is money you don't have. But still, you can sell some of your KK and KQ and get in here.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
youcan'tstopusnow
#2 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 11:28:52 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
You dare metion selling KK and KQ? VVS and deal respectively will curse you.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 11:52:15 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
LOL... I like TPSEA... I do... I bought in the Rights Issue + Additional Shares... and got 85% of my cash as a refund!

Nevertheless, I feel TPSEA shares have risen too soon too fast! I might sell my 'additional' shares while keeping my Rights Shares!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Surealligator
#4 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 2:41:08 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
VituVingiSana wrote:
LOL... I like TPSEA... I do... I bought in the Rights Issue + Additional Shares... and got 85% of my cash as a refund!

Nevertheless, I feel TPSEA shares have risen too soon too fast! I might sell my 'additional' shares while keeping my Rights Shares!


@VVS

Man, don't sell your Serena yet. Foreign investors are getting into the company after failing to get triple unclaimed rights. Sell at 70 if you must sell.

Lakini, pwana, hi KK inanishtua. You made me grab 50,000KK shares at 10 something and it has not behaved very well. Anyway, hope by year end things will change but you owe me a beer. Hata Mwenyewe huota ikiungua.

We were in dubs and segman looked pretty old to me. He claimed he was being cornered and I thought he might it. Here comes Muite and he seems to have carried the magic ward. I should be meeting him in late Oct at Park Place. But he seems uncertain of the deal holding for long as KK is on the receiving end. What's your take.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
Surealligator
#5 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 2:42:49 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
@VVS

good news for you.

NAIROBI Oct 1 (Reuters) - Kenyan fuel marketer KenolKobil (KENO.NR: Quote) has replaced cable maker East African Cables (CABL.NR: Quote) on the equal-weight NSE-20 share index, the Nairobi stock exchange said on Friday.

The bourse, one of the top-performers in sub-Saharan Africa this year, has a second index, the market capitalisation-weighted NSE All Share Index .

"Following a recent review, the board of the NSE approved the inclusion of Kenol Kobil Ltd as an index constituent company in the Industrial and Allied sector, replacing East African Cables Ltd," the bourse said.

The change takes effect on Friday. (Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Dan Lalor)

Source: Looters (Loiters)
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
nostoppingthis
#6 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 3:08:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/24/2009
Posts: 5,909
Location: Nairobi
Surealligator wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
LOL... I like TPSEA... I do... I bought in the Rights Issue + Additional Shares... and got 85% of my cash as a refund!

Nevertheless, I feel TPSEA shares have risen too soon too fast! I might sell my 'additional' shares while keeping my Rights Shares!


@VVS

Sell at 70 if you must sell.





So is buying at 65 or lower still a good deal? prospects? 100 by dec 2010?smile
Gordon Gekko
#7 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 3:08:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Surealligator wrote:
@VVS

good news for you.

NAIROBI Oct 1 (Reuters) - Kenyan fuel marketer KenolKobil (KENO.NR: Quote) has replaced cable maker East African Cables (CABL.NR: Quote) on the equal-weight NSE-20 share index, the Nairobi stock exchange said on Friday.

The bourse, one of the top-performers in sub-Saharan Africa this year, has a second index, the market capitalisation-weighted NSE All Share Index .

"Following a recent review, the board of the NSE approved the inclusion of Kenol Kobil Ltd as an index constituent company in the Industrial and Allied sector, replacing East African Cables Ltd," the bourse said.

The change takes effect on Friday. (Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Dan Lalor)

Source: Looters (Loiters)


Is Christmas coming early for me?smile smile smile
youcan'tstopusnow
#8 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 3:09:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Surealligator, you should have grabbed some at 9
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Surealligator
#9 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 3:36:22 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Surealligator, you should have grabbed some at 9


@YCSUN

By Dec, I will be telling you the same about Serena.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
Surealligator
#10 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 3:40:05 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Surealligator wrote:
@VVS

good news for you.

NAIROBI Oct 1 (Reuters) - Kenyan fuel marketer KenolKobil (KENO.NR: Quote) has replaced cable maker East African Cables (CABL.NR: Quote) on the equal-weight NSE-20 share index, the Nairobi stock exchange said on Friday.

The bourse, one of the top-performers in sub-Saharan Africa this year, has a second index, the market capitalisation-weighted NSE All Share Index .

"Following a recent review, the board of the NSE approved the inclusion of Kenol Kobil Ltd as an index constituent company in the Industrial and Allied sector, replacing East African Cables Ltd," the bourse said.

The change takes effect on Friday. (Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Dan Lalor)

Source: Looters (Loiters)


Is Christmas coming early for me?smile smile smile


@GG

Thats for sure.

@YCSUN

I use to have the KK shares having gotten them at 45, they went up then down and finally sold them at 85 only for them to go to 110 and split.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
youcan'tstopusnow
#11 Posted : Friday, October 01, 2010 5:05:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Sureall, I actually already sold the KK I picked up at 9 for around 7.5% gain after commissions. Not bad for a 2 week job. I've never really looked at TPS. Will look at it over the weekend. I might dabble. What price do you see it in Dec? So you had KK at 45? Brilliant move. VVS share more about your reservations on TPS please.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#12 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 1:55:39 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
Surealligator wrote:
You made me grab 50,000KK shares at 10 something and it has not behaved very well. Anyway, hope by year end things will change but you owe me a beer.

We were in dubs and segman looked pretty old to me. He claimed he was being cornered and I thought he might it. Here comes Muite and he seems to have carried the magic ward. I should be meeting him in late Oct at Park Place. But he seems uncertain of the deal holding for long as KK is on the receiving end. What's your take.


I can't make out half of what you are saying! d'oh! Laughing out loudly

1) Dubs? [Dublin?]
2) Who are meeting at Park Place (in London?) in Oct? Muite or Segman?
3) Segman should be in his mid-late 50s. I think.
4) I think there is NO proper deal in place between KK & KPRL. The recent OTS moves worry me. They give excessive power to MoE who as you know I do not trust!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#13 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 2:03:44 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
@youcant

I like Aga Khan firms! I have NEVER lost money on any Aga Khan IPOs or Rights!

NMG, DTBK, Jubilee, TPSEA...

I like Serena. Best hotel group. Forget Serena hotels in Kenya... best I have been to is Kampala Serena! BEAUTIFUL... Next time I will try to stay at Serena's resort in Entebbe...

Anyway, I like Serena but I wanna flip into KK, KQ, Unga... I believe I have done my research & I see (more) value in the 3 despite the current woes!

KQ - Strike threat but Africa growth is better than most of the world. Best margins are in Africa.
KK - This is a 3-year hold but I see 100% profit in it i.e. I expect 10/- capital gains + dividends in 3 years.
Unga - It is ripe for a buyout. The ndegwas control it & I have a strong feeling they keep Unga running for the Real Estate not the business! BTW, Unga expects a better 2011 especially in Uganda. Stated NAV is 31/- so a price even close to that in 3 years is 100% gain!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#14 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 2:24:17 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
I aim for a 30% annual gain. So in 3 years = 100%. Ceteris Paribus. Quote this in 3 years (20 Sep 2010) if Wazua & I are around!

KK: 1 Oct 2010 = 10/- but 20/- is a given with regional expansion. Also owns decent real estate in many fast growing African countries.

KQ: 1 Oct 2010 = 47/- & 94/- is a strong possibility as expansion into Africa takes hold. KQ has started linking China, India & Middle East into Africa. These 4 regions are the fastest growing regions...

China's growth is legendary. There will be setbacks but mere bumps in the road.
India has its challenged. Unlike China's state sponsored growth this is bumpier but solid (& robust) private sector growth. Look at Bharti Airtel & YU-Essar both in Kenya & Africa. Tata trucks are a common sight in Zambia & Uganda.
'Middle East' is an investor. Kuwait, Qatar, Abu Dhabi all want to diversify from Europe & USA... and Africa is next door. Dubai to Nairobi is 4 hours.
Africa: Problems, Wars, Coups, etc... BUT the potential is here. Unlike massive China or India, it is fragmented. A pity! Nevertheless, look at amazing Mauritius, Botswana or Rwanda. They have stable governments. Mauritius & Botswana have almost ZERO corruption with strong democracies & weak armies! Rwanda under Kagame is doing very well.

Kenya will see a huge boost when S.Sudan secedes. Just a matter of time. Uganda's oil money will trickle into Kenya as well. Tanzania is a sleeping giant. Well, when they want to work! Congo & Algeria have resources up the wazoo.

KQ serves them all...
N'dola to Nairobi to Dubai
Accra to Nairobi to India
Lagos to Nairobi to China
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#15 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 8:58:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
I own a huge chunk of TPSEA and took up all my rights which are already seeing 30% capital gains....

And How did i do this??

By putting a huge past of my cash in jubilee... Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly


@VVS about unga the NAV has been above 20 for about 3 years but the share price has never come close to that so why do you think the next 3 years will be different???
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#16 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 9:10:45 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
@guru I am going to be an activist shareholder! I noticed the ndegwas are pushing for a REIT through ICEA so the next step is to find assets to put into the REIT... Unga has lots of properties which can be 'bought' by the REIT...

I am banking on the property assets NOT the business of milling... That said, there is huge 'brand value' to Unga's brands... which they can sell off!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#17 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 9:32:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
@guru I am going to be an activist shareholder! I noticed the ndegwas are pushing for a REIT through ICEA so the next step is to find assets to put into the REIT... Unga has lots of properties which can be 'bought' by the REIT...

I am banking on the property assets NOT the business of milling... That said, there is huge 'brand value' to Unga's brands... which they can sell off!

So your basically saying that your banking on a buyer swooping in and acquiring unga at NAV?? Wouldn't kakuzi be a better play for this goal knowing How their assets are currently valued???

I think thats a really tall order at the moment so i hope your doing some risk management....
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#18 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 10:42:58 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@guru I am going to be an activist shareholder! I noticed the ndegwas are pushing for a REIT through ICEA so the next step is to find assets to put into the REIT... Unga has lots of properties which can be 'bought' by the REIT...

I am banking on the property assets NOT the business of milling... That said, there is huge 'brand value' to Unga's brands... which they can sell off!

So your basically saying that your banking on a buyer swooping in and acquiring unga at NAV?? Wouldn't kakuzi be a better play for this goal knowing How their assets are currently valued???

I think thats a really tall order at the moment so i hope your doing some risk management....
I like Kakuzi but they are in a different boat...

Agricultural land is harder to 'transfer' sell vs Industrial land... With the 'new' constitution & the 999 year leases coming up for 'conversion' to 99 years...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#19 Posted : Saturday, October 02, 2010 4:58:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
This thread has been hijacked, nkt nkt. Anyway i think tps is a good one. I have a few shares that i intend to increase gradually, i will not attempt to time the market.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Gordon Gekko
#20 Posted : Thursday, July 14, 2011 2:23:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
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