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The equity share...
mlennyma
#1 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:05:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
Iam taking issue with a recent report which projected the equity share to grow to a mere kshs.26.37 for the next 1yr and a week later its at 26.25,i wonder where some analysts went to shool....anyway can someone assist me with a projection of this share 1yr later..,is 45 too ambitious?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
VituVingiSana
#2 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:09:54 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,276
Location: Nairobi
I have no idea what 'shool' some of these analysts went to...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Sober
#3 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:15:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
Just because the projected growth has been archieved far too soon doesnt mean they are wrong. It may rise to 40 then the 2012 politics depress it back to mid 20s. In that case will they still be wrong?
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
guru267
#4 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:19:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Sober wrote:
It may rise to 40 then the 2012 politics depress it back to mid 20s. In that case will they still be wrong?

Please tell me some people actually still think there will be a crisis of some sort in 2012....

This is sooooo sad because I'll be buying from you guys as you sell....
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Sober
#5 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:31:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
It's not thinking, whenever there is a change in political environment thre's some price readjustments at the bourse. This not only happens in kenya but also in advanced markets.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
sheep
#6 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:40:11 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
It depends with the valuations....if the NSE will be having a p/e of more than 20..Ill be more than happy to sell 70% of my holdings
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
mlennyma
#7 Posted : Tuesday, September 28, 2010 12:59:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
Whenever equity is mentioned,politics come to the fore!you mean the other name for equity is politics?guys you have to change or the change will change you,equity is regional and going international...i want your projections 4 this share
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
youcan'tstopusnow
#8 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 3:10:44 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Demand for this stock has been very high today.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mlennyma
#9 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 4:15:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
Not today alone check previous volumes and the 3rd quarter ends 2moro isnt it too early for it to ignite?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
youcan'tstopusnow
#10 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 5:43:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mlennyma wrote:
Not today alone check previous volumes and the 3rd quarter ends 2moro isnt it too early for it to ignite?

People are expecting increased revenues from M-KESHO. Southern Sudan is also starting to make tidy profits. A lot of the branches opened within the last 18 months have broken even. The Equity stock will ALWAYS generate more interest than most counters at the NSE. FACT! It is moving into TZ and RWANDA. There is no telling where it will go from there, but it aims to be an ''African bank''. The only blot in their operations at the moment is Uganda. But that, I believe, will be overcome too. If you bought way earlier, no problem in locking in some of your gains and redistributing them to other counters you feel have much upside
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
shauriyako
#11 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 7:11:43 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/17/2010
Posts: 71
Location: Kenya
@ucant... I believe if you sold equity now you will most likely be locking out potential gains. The potential upside on this stock in the next six to seven months is huge (IMO). People have talked of 35/= post or just pre-results - I think this may just come to pass.
When we wake up in the morning, we have two simple choices. Go back to sleep and dream, or wake up and chase those dreams. The choice is yours! .
youcan'tstopusnow
#12 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 7:39:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
shauriyako, I'm not talking about completely selling off. Just saying that if you bought at, maybe 15, that's around 70 percent gains. Not bad at all. On the timeframe, I would prefer to look at a period of around 3 years and more as opposed to your 6 months. 35? I think that is unlikely after release of results (Unless you are talking about the release of 2010 financials next year and not 3rd quarter results this year. Please clarify) Though I will be delighted if it does attain those levels. All the same, Equity is a sure bet going forward.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mlennyma
#13 Posted : Wednesday, September 29, 2010 11:40:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
One dude is challenging m-kesho in court and if he has his facts right,you may soon have to 4get it.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
sparkly
#14 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 7:05:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mlennyma wrote:
One dude is challenging m-kesho in court and if he has his facts right,you may soon have to 4get it.

what are his facts. Give us details
Life is short. Live passionately.
guru267
#15 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 8:28:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
shauriyako wrote:
@ucant... I believe if you sold equity now you will most likely be locking out potential gains. The potential upside on this stock in the next six to seven months is huge (IMO). People have talked of 35/= post or just pre-results - I think this may just come to pass.

@shauriyako have you looked at dividend yield, NAV, and P/E ratio....

If you did then you would know anyone buying the stock at 35 in 7 months would be a greater fool
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Cardinal
#16 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 9:46:15 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/12/2009
Posts: 266
mlennyma wrote:
One dude is challenging m-kesho in court and if he has his facts right,you may soon have to 4get it.



Forget it, its quite hard for this guy to win..

Safaricom became a party to the case last week,

Dont joke with this two companies,

Two possible options, buy the jury with a few millions or give the guy a few millions,

Same case applied to Zap when it was just introduced,
mlennyma
#17 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 9:47:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
The author of m-kesho claims to have been "rushwared"
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Sober
#18 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 9:56:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
have a look at this

http://www.standardmedia...quity,%20NOC%20in%20deal
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
ProverB
#19 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 10:11:18 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
mlennyma wrote:
The author of m-kesho claims to have been "rushwared"


..while in campus..one very irate student screamed at the west campus director during a strike.. "Nyamba Risasi!!!" after the director threatened to expel him.. smile smile

..Equity&Safaricom's response to this dude seem to carry same magnitude.. otherwise..the risk of letting this go so far is truly great.. seem they have nothing to fear.Think
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
youcan'tstopusnow
#20 Posted : Thursday, September 30, 2010 11:07:22 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
sparkly, meanwhile, I believe i'm not the only one waiting for an NIC rallysmile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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