If I were Raila, I would read (re-read) 'The Prince'(Machiavelli) and 'Art of War' (Sun Tzu) and other strategic, real or fictional works and having done so:
1. Withdraw from top race 2012
2. Support a Musalia/Kalonzo ticket (some docile twosome who maybe agreeable nationally)
3. Fill senate with cronies
4. Engineer a senatorial impeachment on Musalia after year 1.
5. Stage a come-back citing, 'our coalition days' blah blah...
Otherwise, 2012 is going to be Raila against all like it was Moi/Uhuru against all (Narc) in 2002, or Kaunda against MDC in Zambia 90's.
Because of the head start he has, bet the rest will gang against him in a massive way, including AU, US Republicans and China but excluding EU.
So, RAO, why risk to fail in the mother of all battles, while waiting just 1 year will get you there?
By the way - may I join your strategy team pro bono? These opinion polls are sweet in the mouth but bitter in the stomach, they are bent against you, in the long haul, sir.