I am a firm believer in history repeating itself, so this is for people like me, who want to look at past scenarios that mirror the Kenyan mobile market, in order to predict the future.
On my part I think that the mobile market in Kenya is shaping up just like the video game console market. Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo have played out the EXACT same patterns in the recent past. Here is a Wikipedia article on "Console Wars":
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Console_warsAnyone interested should focus on the war between Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo's video game devices. In a summary, the formerly market dominant Sony came dead last, the incredibly cheap Microsoft came out second and the innovative Nintendo came out first.
This particular historical analogy shows that INNOVATION will win this war!